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Open Access

Trends and predictors of myocardial infarction or vascular death after ischaemic stroke or TIA in China, 2007–2018: insights from China National Stroke Registries

Long Li, Yuesong Pan, Mengxing Wang, Jing Jing, Xia Meng, Yong Jiang, Caixia Guo, Zening Jin, Yongjun Wang
DOI: 10.1136/svn-2020-000503 Published 28 June 2021
Long Li
1 Department of Cardiology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Yuesong Pan
2 Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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Mengxing Wang
2 Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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Jing Jing
2 Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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Xia Meng
2 Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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Yong Jiang
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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Caixia Guo
1 Department of Cardiology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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Zening Jin
1 Department of Cardiology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
4 Department of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
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  • ORCID record for Zening Jin
Yongjun Wang
2 Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
3 China National Clinical Research Center for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China
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  • Figure 1
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    Figure 1

    Flow diagram of participants in this study. CNSR, China National Stroke Registry; ICH, intracerebral haemorrhage; IS, ischaemic stroke; SAH, subarachnoid haemorrhage; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.

  • Figure 2
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    Figure 2

    One-year outcomes after ischaemic stroke or TIA at different time period (2007–2008, 2012–2013 and 2015–2018). MI, myocardial infarction; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.

  • Figure 3
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    Figure 3

    Cumulative incidence of 1-year MI or vascular death between different subgroup in 2015–2018 cohort. CAD, coronary artery disease; MI, myocardial infarction; TIA, transient ischaemic attack; TOAST, Trial of Org 10 712 in acute stroke treatment.

Tables

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  • Table 1

    Baseline characteristics and outcomes of three time period cohorts

    CNSR-I
    2007–2008
    (n=13 616)
    CNSR-II
    2012–2013
    (n=21 952)
    CNSR-III
    2015–2018
    (n=15 166)
    P for trend*
    Demographics
     Age, median (IQR), y67 (56–74)65 (56–74)63 (54–70)0.990
     Ethnicity (non-Han)460 (3.4)669 (3.1)440 (2.9)0.066
     Female sex5235 (38.5)7949 (36.8)4802 (31.7)<0.001
    Medical history
     Previous stroke/TIA4263 (31.3)7711 (35.7)3675 (24.2)<0.001
     CHD/previous MI1961 (14.4)2920 (13.5)1608 (10.6)<0.001
     Hypertension8484 (62.3)13 861 (64.2)9494 (62.6)<0.001
     Diabetes mellitus2831 (20.8)4403 (20.4)3510 (23.1)<0.001
     Dyslipidaemia1552 (11.4)2656 (12.3)1191 (7.9)<0.001
     Atrial fibrillation960 (7.1)1467 (6.8)1019 (6.7)0.505
     Onset-to-door time, median (IQR), h11.3 (2.9–39.0)21.0 (5.0–52.6)11.8 (3.1–32.6)0.993
     NIHSS at admission, median (IQR)4 (2–9)3 (1–6)3 (1–6)0.972
    In-hospital outcomes
     mRS ≤2 at discharge9508 (70.0)16 647 (77.2)12 464 (82.4)<0.001
     In-hospital mortality355 (2.6)223 (1.0)35 (0.2)<0.001
    1 year outcomes
     MI or vascular death1518 (11.2)1565 (7.3)251 (1.7)<0.001
     MI or non-stroke vascular death451 (3.3)582 (2.7)104 (0.7)<0.001
     MI or all-cause death1870 (13.7)1945 (9.0)563 (3.7)<0.001
     Recurrent Stroke2302 (17.8)1573 (7.3)1473 (9.7)<0.001
     Vascular death1378 (10.1)1303 (6.0)222 (1.5)<0.001
     MI180 (1.3)298 (1.4)39 (0.3)<0.001
    • Values are presented as n (%) unless otherwise indicated.

    • *Based on ANOVA.

    • ANOVA, analysis of variance; CHD, coronary heart disease; CNSR, China National Stroke Registry; MI, myocardial infarction; mRS, modified Rankin scale; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; TIA, transient ischaemic attack.

  • Table 2

    Baseline characteristics and outcomes of 26 hospitals included in all three cohorts

    CNSR-I
    2007–2008
    (n=3015)
    CNSR-II
    2012–2013
    (n=1984)
    CNSR-III
    2015–2018
    (n=1750)
    P for trend*
    Demographics
     Age, median (IQR), y65 (55–73)64 (55–73)62 (54–69)0.990
     Ethnicity (non-Han)149 (4.94)99 (4.99)53 (3.03)0.004
     Female sex1080 (35.8)687 (34.6)504 (28.8)<0.001
    In-hospital outcomes
     mRS ≤2 at discharge2164 (71.9)1533 (77.3)1247 (71.3)0.745
     In-hospital mortality68 (2.3)22 (1.1)2 (0.1)<0.001
    1 year outcomes
     MI or vascular death348 (11.5)129 (6.50)15 (0.9)<0.001
     MI or non-stroke vascular death100 (3.3)54 (2.72)8 (0.5)<0.001
     MI or all-cause death409 (13.6)158 (8.0)45 (2.6)<0.001
     Recurrent stroke544 (18.0)132 (6.7)171 (9.8)<0.001
     Vascular death307 (10.2)95 (4.8)11 (0.6)<0.001
     MI50 (1.7)35 (1.8)5 (0.3)<0.001
    • Values are presented as n (%) unless otherwise indicated.

    • *Based on ANOVA.

    • CNSR, China National Stroke Registry; MI, myocardial infarction; mRS, modified Rankin scale.

  • Table 3

    Predictors of 1-year MI or vascular death in 2015–2018 cohort

    Predictor variableMI or vascular deathRecurrent stroke
    Adjusted*
    HR
    (95% CI)
    P valueAdjusted*
    HR
    (95% CI)
    P value
    Age, years1.03 (1.02 to 1.04)<0.0011.01 (1.00 to 1.01)<0.001
    Male sex0.89 (0.67 to 1.18)0.4051.06 (0.94 to 1.19)0.381
    NIHSS >61.91 (1.46 to 2.49)<0.0011.21 (1.07 to 1.36)0.002
    Final diagnosis of stroke2.51 (1.11 to 5.68)0.0282.20 (1.65 to 2.93)<0.001
    TOAST Classification
     Cardioembolism0.70 (0.43 to 1.14)0.1510.88 (0.68 to 1.13)0.298
     Non-cardioembolismRef.Ref.Ref.Ref.
    Previous stroke/TIA1.69 (1.30 to 2.20)<0.0011.56 (1.40 to 1.75)<0.001
    Previous MI1.83 (0.96 to 3.47)0.0660.99 (0.69 to 1.42)0.958
    Coronary artery disease1.50 (1.08 to 2.07)0.0151.23 (1.04 to 1.45)0.016
    Hypertension0.95 (0.71 to 1.25)0.6951.01 (0.89 to 1.13)0.937
    Diabetes mellitus1.15 (0.87 to 1.54)0.3321.17 (1.04 to 1.32)0.008
    Atrial fibrillation1.83 (1.20 to 2.80)0.0051.14 (0.90 to 1.45)0.272
    Current smoking0.96 (0.70 to 1.31)0.7991.01 (0.89 to 1.15)0.863
    Treatment
     Endovascular therapy2.45 (1.13 to 5.33)0.0242.00 (1.21 to 3.29)0.007
     Early antiplatelet0.47 (0.32 to 0.67)<0.0010.70 (0.58 to 0.85)<0.001
     Lipid lowing at discharge0.39 (0.27 to 0.56)<0.0010.70 (0.58 to 0.84)<0.001
     Antihypertension at discharge0.99 (0.74 to 1.31)0.9221.05 (0.93 to 1.17)0.441
    • *Adjusted for sex, age, NIHSS >6, history of Previous stroke/TIA, previous MI, known coronary artery disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation, peripheral artery disease, current smoker and lipid lowering and antihypertensive treatments.

    • MI, myocardial infarction; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale; TIA, transient ischaemic attack; TOAST, Trial of Org 10 712 in acute stroke treatment.

Supplementary Materials

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    [svn-2020-000503supp001.pdf]

Additional Files

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    This web only file has been produced by the BMJ Publishing Group from an electronic file supplied by the author(s) and has not been edited for content.

    • Data supplement 1
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Trends and predictors of myocardial infarction or vascular death after ischaemic stroke or TIA in China, 2007–2018: insights from China National Stroke Registries
Long Li, Yuesong Pan, Mengxing Wang, Jing Jing, Xia Meng, Yong Jiang, Caixia Guo, Zening Jin, Yongjun Wang
Stroke and Vascular Neurology Jun 2021, 6 (2) 214-221; DOI: 10.1136/svn-2020-000503

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Trends and predictors of myocardial infarction or vascular death after ischaemic stroke or TIA in China, 2007–2018: insights from China National Stroke Registries
Long Li, Yuesong Pan, Mengxing Wang, Jing Jing, Xia Meng, Yong Jiang, Caixia Guo, Zening Jin, Yongjun Wang
Stroke and Vascular Neurology Jun 2021, 6 (2) 214-221; DOI: 10.1136/svn-2020-000503
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Trends and predictors of myocardial infarction or vascular death after ischaemic stroke or TIA in China, 2007–2018: insights from China National Stroke Registries
Long Li, Yuesong Pan, Mengxing Wang, Jing Jing, Xia Meng, Yong Jiang, Caixia Guo, Zening Jin, Yongjun Wang
Stroke and Vascular Neurology Jun 2021, 6 (2) 214-221; DOI: 10.1136/svn-2020-000503
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