Table 3

Models’ performance for prediction of sICH all-cause death and recurrence

Performance metricsTraining dataTest data
Cox model for predicting all-cause death within 5 years
Concordance index0.830 (0.883, 0.776)0.841 (0.767, 0.913)
Integrated Brier score0.0690.079
Time-dependent AUC
1 year0.880 (0.805, 0.955)0.821 (0.729, 0.913)
3 years0.869 (0.815, 0.923)0.845 (0.748, 0.942)
5 years0.814 (0.737, 0.890)0.892 (0.810, 0.974)
Cox model for predicting recurrence of ICH within 5 years
Concordance index0.740 (0.832, 0.648)0.759 (0.651, 0.867)
Integrated Brier score0.0580.063
Time-dependent AUC
1 year0.782 (0.658, 0.907)0.808 (0.642, 0.973)
3 years0.751 (0.649, 0.853)0.780 (0.643, 0.918)
5 years0.749 (0.647, 0.850)0.789 (0.657, 0.921)
  • AUC, area under the curve; sICH, spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage.